FILTERED RESULTS
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FILTERED RESULTS
Wheat prices near multi-year highs as war, weather, and harvest shortfalls converge
India-New Zealand free trade pact to take effect Oct. 20
Ingenia rejects improved AUD2.06bn Warburg Pincus takeover proposal
How a murder trial became a booming business for online creators
Digital euro makes debut in wholesale financial markets
Novo Nordisk Announces Additional Job Cuts Amid Corporate Restructuring
Trafigura Sees Mideast Oil-Tanker Buying Spree Prolonging Boom
Kuwait reports record-high oil refining income
PE firms squeezed as Swiss M&A rebounds
Trump’s Venezuela Oil Deal With Betancourt Hinges on Aging and Distant Fields
ECB to invest part of own funds in tokenised securities, with settlement via Pontes
Eurosystem brings central bank money to tokenised finance
Novo Nordisk Reports 7 Million Wegovy Prescriptions in the U.S.
Micron (MU) and SK Hynix Battle Rising Challenge from China’s CXMT DRAM Expansion
Slide in oil prices drives rebound in battered government bonds
USD/JPY Faces Intervention Risks Amid Japan's Holiday and Thin Liquidity
RRJ Capital provides $140m private credit facility to Tahmoor Coal
Partners Group explores €800m private credit continuation vehicle
German auto workers stage protests as Volkswagen profit warning rocks sector
Ipsen shares fall 7% after U.S. approval of generic Somatuline rival
Fed, BoE probe banks’ exposure to trading firms after Jane Street loss, FT reports
NBA changes PE rules ahead of proposed $12.5bn Lakers acquisition
Japan to Relax Restrictions on Regional Bank Loans for AI and Energy Sectors
SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Stock: Is a 35% Decline Creating a Buy Signal?
Morgan Stanley limited private credit fund redemption requests again
Vanguard Sees 'Huge Rotation' by US Investors Into Bonds
SoftBank seeks to raise $11bn in one of biggest ever high-yield bond deals
Korea Investment Corp explores sale of more than $1bn in PE stakes
DCC Energy shareholders approve £5.7bn takeover by KKR and ECP
Oil prices slide to 11-day low on hopes of US-Iran diplomacy, Saudi exports
Stocks rise on AI optimism; lower oil helps bonds
Streamflation drives 39% of Americans to cancel streaming in 6 months
Yen slips as intervention threat persists, dollar steady
Copper Climbs Toward Record High on Signs of Near-Term Tightness
Paramount Skydance (PSKY) Stock Surges 6% on Warner Bros. Merger Settlement Progress
Harley-Davidson dealers are worried about sticker shock for its Canadian consumers
Apartment Landlords Have a $2 Trillion Debt Problem That Is Only Getting Worse
How Harley-Davidson, an American Icon, Became a Tariff Punching Bag
Novo sheds 13,000 jobs in a year
UK flights disrupted by latest air traffic control problem
Pakistan Minister's Visit Not Linked to US-Iran Mediation Efforts
Novo Plunges as Investors Seek More Robust Sales Targets (Video)
Community Resistance Stalls $68 Billion Worth of AI Data Center Developments
Diesel Prices Shatter Records, Surpassing $6.50 Per Gallon Amid Global Supply Crunch
Porsche CEO Confirms No Additional Job Cuts Planned
Barclays Expands Investment in UK Branch Network
Crude Markets Retreat as U.S.-Iran Diplomatic Signals Weaken Geopolitical Premium
SocGen shares jump 4% on plan for more than €21 bln shareholder returns
Gift Nifty 50 tests resistance at 23,582 in bear flag: Live levels
Iran's President Pezeshkian to Attend UN General Assembly in New York
Tech Titans Join Trump-Xi Dinner: Microsoft (MSFT), Nvidia (NVDA), and OpenAI CEOs to Attend Historic Summit
Mailboxes at Rebuilt Hawaii Homes Sit Empty After Lahaina Wildfire
China Promised to Buy More U.S. Farm Goods. It Hasn’t Happened.
The impact of macroprudential policy fragmentation on corporate lending – evidence from a novel indicator
The uneven journey of wholesale gas and electricity prices to consumer bills
Ethereum Surges Following CFTC Regulatory Developments
This A.I. House Can Provide You With Connections. It Also Has a Dark Side.
Young Consultants Are Jumping Ship for A.I. Start-Ups
What’s a Classic Car? Younger Collectors Prize Less Heralded Models.
Detroiters see an economy that isn’t working for them and want change ahead of November’s election
Banks face regulatory barriers to rapid AI reform, says SocGen chief
Syncona jumps 6% after Beacon gene therapy trial success
Europe’s STOXX 600 rises on tech rally, easing oil prices
Merz under pressure after fresh AfD win in state election
Reward Appoints Enrique Del Rio as President for UK and Europe
South Korea, Japan, and US Foreign Ministers to Meet for Trilateral Talks on September 21
Micron (MU) Stock Surges Nearly 10% on Advanced Memory Tech Ahead of Quarterly Report
Egypt's Paymob Secures $35 Million in Pre-Series C Funding
Government Bond Yields Fall as Risk Sentiment Tentatively Improves
Inflation narratives and risk premia
Theory suggests inflation risk premia are positive when supply shocks are expected to dominate demand shocks and negative otherwise. We measure these beliefs using demand and supply narratives derived from inflation news via Causality Extraction, which identifies causal relations between inflation and its drivers. Using narrative extracted from inflation news from the Financial Times for the Euro Area and the Wall Street Journal for the US, our key variable, NetDemand, measures the difference in articles attributing inflation to demand versus supply factors. Consistent with asset pricing theory, inflation risk premia are inversely related to NetDemand across maturities in both regions. This relationship holds even after controlling for the composite PMI and VIX, strengthens with risk aversion in the US and inflation volatility in the Euro Area, and is not subsumed by other measures of demand and supply contributions to inflation, views of professional forecasters, or narratives obtained from LLMs.
Source: European Central Bank