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AppLovin (APP) Shares Plunge 60% YTD as Judge Sides With Unity in Data Dispute
TLDR
- AppLovin (APP) shares declined over 5% on Friday, nearing $267, following a San Francisco court’s decision to reject its emergency motion against Unity.
- The court decision allows Unity to continue operating its Ad Quality SDK tool, which gathers information from AppLovin’s MAX advertising platform.
- Shares of AppLovin have plummeted approximately 60% throughout 2026, pressured by disappointing revenue forecasts and negative analyst assessments.
- Major financial institutions including Wells Fargo and Bank of America have downgraded their ratings on the company in recent weeks.
- Unity (U) shares surged more than 6% on strong sequential growth from its Vector advertising division.
Shares of AppLovin (APP) reached a new 52-week low on Friday following a judge’s rejection of the company’s emergency legal action against Unity Software.
The stock declined more than 5% during premarket hours, hovering near $267. Year-to-date, the company has shed nearly 60% of its market value.
A San Francisco judge refused AppLovin’s motion for a temporary restraining order targeting Unity’s Ad Quality SDK. This software collects information about advertisements delivered through AppLovin’s MAX advertising network.
AppLovin contends that Unity has leveraged this collected information to enhance its own advertising algorithms. Unity refutes this allegation, maintaining that Ad Quality functions as a publisher-approved tool operating beyond the scope of the companies’ bidding contract.
The core legal battle will now proceed through private arbitration instead of public court proceedings. Friday’s court decision only concerned temporary measures and did not evaluate the substantive arguments of either party.
What Analysts Are Saying
Wedbush analyst Alicia Reese described the ruling as a notable change in competitive dynamics. She suggested it may become more challenging for AppLovin to safeguard information generated through its platform.
Reese highlighted Unity’s accelerating performance as a more significant concern. Vector revenue increased 23% quarter-over-quarter in the most recent period, approximately twice what the company had projected.
This segment has achieved a $1 billion annual run rate two quarters earlier than anticipated. Meanwhile, Unity’s Strategic Grow revenue jumped 63% compared to the prior year.
Reese doesn’t anticipate the legal dispute will directly impact AppLovin’s fundamental operations. However, she cautioned that more aggressive Unity bidding within MAX auctions might compress AppLovin’s take rate going forward.
She also noted that AppLovin is unlikely to completely block Unity’s participation in MAX. Such a move could damage publisher earnings and provide Unity with grounds for an antitrust complaint.
Pressure Has Been Building for Months
This week’s legal setback compounds an already challenging period for AppLovin. The company’s second-quarter revenue of $1.924 billion fell short of Wall Street projections, despite earnings per share exceeding analyst predictions.
Revenue guidance for the third quarter also disappointed some market observers. This triggered a series of negative rating changes from financial analysts.
Wells Fargo downgraded the stock from Overweight to Equal-Weight. Bank of America subsequently lowered its rating to Neutral, expressing skepticism about AppLovin’s ability to sustain a 30% long-term revenue growth trajectory.
JPMorgan initiated coverage with a Neutral rating this week as well. The firm raised concerns about the sustainability of mobile gaming expansion and AppLovin’s capacity to grow its advertising operations consistently.
CNBC’s Jim Cramer also commented on Friday. He observed that momentum-focused investors have lost enthusiasm for the stock as competitive pressures challenge its in-app advertising narrative.
Cramer maintains that the company’s valuation remains excessive. “Now, it’s still a $94 billion company. That’s just way too much market cap for me,” he said.
Market participants are now awaiting the court’s complete written ruling. A hearing scheduled for October 23 regarding the sealing of court records is also pending.
Source: Parameter