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      Nvidia (NVDA) Earnings, Bitcoin’s $70K Comeback, and Fed-Treasury Clash: Your Week Ahead

      Key Highlights

      • Nvidia’s Wednesday earnings report draws intense scrutiny following post-earnings declines in the previous three quarters
      • Bitcoin surged past $70,000 last week for the first time since May, fueled by regulatory optimism and Treasury buyback activity
      • Wednesday’s PCE inflation report will be critical for determining the Federal Reserve’s next move in September
      • Treasury bond buybacks are creating policy conflicts with the Fed’s preference for elevated yields
      • Major earnings from CrowdStrike, Salesforce, Dollar General, Ulta Beauty, and Marvell Technology round out a busy week

      All eyes turn to Nvidia’s second-quarter earnings announcement scheduled for Wednesday. Investor sentiment remains cautious after the chipmaker’s shares declined following its previous three earnings reports.

      During the previous quarter, Nvidia exceeded analyst projections with revenue jumping 85% compared to the same period last year. Data center revenue nearly doubled, prompting CEO Jensen Huang to describe demand as having “gone parabolic.”

      Recent months have seen significant developments for the company. Huang unveiled a new processor optimized for on-device AI agents. The company advanced its chip distribution efforts in China while securing agreements related to AI data center funding.

      The ripple effects are substantial. Wedbush analysts estimate that for every dollar Nvidia generates, the wider technology ecosystem sees $8 to $10 in additional spending.

      In a Friday research note, HSBC analyst Frank Lee speculated that Nvidia’s strategic evolution might involve establishing itself as the premier contributor to open-source artificial intelligence, potentially opening doors to millions of developers and government entities worldwide.

      Bitcoin Surges Beyond $70,000 Threshold

      Bitcoin broke through the $70,000 barrier last week, marking its first appearance at that level since the end of May following an extended period of sideways movement.

      Multiple catalysts contributed to the price appreciation. President Trump intensified his push for cryptocurrency regulatory framework legislation. Additionally, the Treasury Department revealed plans to expand purchases of longer-dated government securities, a development that lifted crypto valuations.

      The milestone of US national debt exceeding $40 trillion also gained attention, a scenario that has traditionally driven investors toward Bitcoin as an alternative store of value.

      Gautam Chhugani, a strategist at Bernstein, noted that Bitcoin has consistently responded favorably to liquidity expansion cycles. The sustainability of this recent rally, however, remains uncertain.

      Policy Divergence Between Fed and Treasury

      Last week’s Treasury bond repurchase program announcement caught markets off guard and is generating tension with Federal Reserve policy. Fed Chair Kevin Warsh has indicated preference for maintaining elevated yields as a policy tightening mechanism without actual rate increases. The Treasury’s buyback initiative operates counter to this strategy by suppressing yields.

      “We have the Fed and the Treasury basically working in sort of opposite directions,” said Wil Stith, senior bond portfolio manager at Wilmington Trust.

      The 30-year Treasury yield reached heights unseen since 2007 before the buyback disclosure temporarily reversed some gains.

      Wednesday brings the PCE price index release, the Federal Reserve’s favored inflation gauge. June’s reading showed a 3.7% year-over-year increase. An upside surprise could intensify expectations for a September rate increase.

      [[IMG_4]]
      Source: Forex Factory

      Fed Chair Warsh is scheduled to deliver remarks at Friday’s Jackson Hole Symposium, potentially providing additional insight into monetary policy trajectory.

      This week’s earnings calendar also features reports from Dollar General, Dollar Tree, Gap, Ulta Beauty, and Marvell Technology, offering additional perspective on consumer behavior and semiconductor demand trends.


      Source: Parameter
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