Experts Warned of the Risk of a Bitcoin Correction Amid Retail Euphoria

• Bitcoin is trading near $80,000, and the Fear and Greed Index is in the greed zone at 66 points.
• At the same time, the negative Coinbase premium may indicate weak demand from US institutional investors, experts noted.
• According to CryptoQuant, bitcoin’s rebound is not accompanied by an abnormal increase in large deposits to spot exchanges.

Bitcoin has moved closer to $80,000 amid rising optimism among retail investors, but onchain metrics point to a divergence between retail behavior and that of large market participants. CryptoQuant data shows this.

Retail Buys Amid Greed

At the time of analysis, bitcoin was trading at around $79,500, and the Fear and Greed Index stood at 66 points, which corresponds to the greed zone.

Experts said that the price increase is accompanied by heightened activity from retail traders. The TBSR indicator on the daily timeframe was 1.12, which, according to CryptoQuant, points to active market buys using leverage and positive funding.

Analysts noted that such behavior can create liquidity for large players who open positions in the opposite direction.

Large Players Do Not Confirm the Rally

CryptoQuant called the negative Coinbase premium one of the key signals. This indicator suggests a lack of sufficient spot demand from US institutional investors.

Another signal is the Exchange Whale Ratio. On the hourly timeframe, the metric reached 0.93, indicating a significant share of large transfers within the total inflow of bitcoin to exchanges, the statement said.

CryptoQuant estimates that the combination of high retail activity and weaker institutional demand creates the risk that the current price rise is not sufficiently supported by spot capital.

Analysts also point to fading price momentum. Against this backdrop, they warn of the risk of a long squeeze — a sharp drop during which positions of traders betting on further upside could be forcibly liquidated.

Large Exchange Deposits Do Not Show Abnormal Growth

At the same time, another CryptoQuant analysis does not confirm a large-scale inflow of bitcoin to spot exchanges.

On September 8, bitcoin closed trading at $78,450. That day, the top 10 largest daily inflows to spot exchanges totaled 5,442 BTC, experts noted.

That is 4.4 times higher than the previous day’s figure, but only 5.1% above the average over the past 30 days. The seven-day average stood at 4,678 BTC, below several peaks recorded earlier this year.

Thus, bitcoin’s current recovery is not accompanied by abnormally high large-deposit activity. This provides limited grounds to speak of rising potential selling pressure driven by large transfers to exchanges, the experts added.

CryptoQuant recommends monitoring the seven-day average inflow. If it begins to rise steadily while the price of the leading cryptocurrency weakens, this could be a signal of increasing selling pressure.

For now, the September 8 deposit spike is more consistent with a return to recent activity levels than with an abnormal surge, the analysts concluded.

Previously, we reported that bitcoin recorded the longest streak of profit-taking sales in 2026.

Сообщение Experts Warned of the Risk of a Bitcoin Correction Amid Retail Euphoria появились сначала на INCRYPTED.