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      People's Bank of China Expected to Set USD/CNY Reference Rate at 6.6813

      The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is anticipated to set the daily USD/CNY reference rate at 6.6813, a significant indicator in Asian foreign exchange markets. This fixing mechanism has gained importance as the PBOC has shifted its stance from restraining the yuan's appreciation to allowing for a gradual increase. Over the past month, the midpoint has strengthened, narrowing the gap with market expectations, suggesting a change in the central bank's approach to currency management.

      For nearly a year, the PBOC had set its daily guidance weaker than market estimates, interpreted by traders as an effort to slow the yuan's rise. However, in September, the central bank strengthened the fixing for eight consecutive sessions, marking the longest streak since 2023. This has resulted in the onshore yuan trading at its strongest levels since January 2023, while the offshore rate has reached heights not seen since July 2022.

      China operates a managed floating exchange rate system, allowing the yuan to trade within a band of plus or minus 2% around the daily midpoint. The PBOC retains discretion over the final fixing, which reflects various factors including previous closing prices, movements in major currencies, and domestic economic conditions. The recent adjustments in the fixing indicate that while the central bank is easing its resistance to yuan gains, it is still cautious about the pace of appreciation, balancing capital stability with export competitiveness.

      © 2026 KLEA News. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

      Source: KLEA News

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