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      Reserve Bank of India Expected to Maintain Interest Rate Amid Inflation Concerns

      The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is anticipated to keep its key interest rate unchanged at 5.25% during its policy announcement today, which is scheduled for 10:00 am India time (04:30 GMT, 00:30 ET). This decision follows a three-day meeting of the six-member Monetary Policy Committee. The RBI has maintained this rate since February, adopting a neutral stance during its last review in August.

      MUFG, a global financial services group, suggests that while the RBI may hold the rate steady today, this pause is likely temporary. The bank cites rising oil prices, weather-related risks, and strong domestic demand as factors contributing to upward inflation pressures. MUFG forecasts that the RBI may implement two 25 basis point hikes in December and February, although this would still be less aggressive than what the markets are currently pricing in.

      The Indian rupee is facing pressure from rising US Treasury yields, which are drawing capital away from emerging markets. However, MUFG notes that the RBI has sufficient reserves to defend the currency against significant depreciation. Investors will be closely watching the RBI's language regarding inflation and currency defense, as any indication of heightened inflation risks could lead to increased expectations for a rate hike at the next meeting, which concludes on December 4.

      © 2026 KLEA News. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

      Source: KLEA News

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