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China's Private Sector Services PMI Data Set for Release Amid Mixed Economic Signals
On September 3, 2026, the private sector services PMI survey from Rating Dog/S&P is scheduled for release, following a week of mixed economic data from China. Earlier this week, the official NBS Manufacturing PMI for August showed a slight improvement, rising to 49.8 from 49.2 in July, although it remains in contraction territory. The increase was attributed to a rebound in output and new orders, while employment continued to contract. Meanwhile, the NBS Non-Manufacturing PMI held steady at 49.0, impacted by a slowdown in construction due to extreme weather conditions.
In contrast, the private Rating Dog Manufacturing PMI reported a more optimistic outlook, climbing to 51.5 from 50.9, surpassing forecasts and indicating growth in new orders for the fifteenth consecutive month. This divergence highlights the differing experiences of smaller, export-oriented firms compared to larger state-owned enterprises represented in the NBS data.
Analysts are closely watching the upcoming Rating Dog Services PMI release, as it may reflect similar softness seen in the official non-manufacturing data. The services sector is crucial, accounting for a significant portion of China's GDP and household demand. A strong performance in the services PMI could bolster the Australian dollar (AUD), which is sensitive to Chinese economic sentiment, particularly in commodities like iron ore. Conversely, a disappointing result could weigh on the AUD, given the importance of the services sector to the overall economy.
Source: KLEA News