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      $16 Billion Bitcoin Options Expiry Set to Test Market Stability

      On September 25, a significant quarterly settlement of Bitcoin options is scheduled to take place on Deribit, with approximately $15.9 billion in options set to expire. This event is poised to serve as a critical test for Bitcoin's recent price surge, which has seen the cryptocurrency trading above $85,000. The outcome of this expiry will provide traders with insights into whether the current rally is sustainable or merely a result of temporary market dynamics.

      The upcoming expiry represents about 37% of Deribit's total Bitcoin open interest, which is estimated at $43.5 billion. Current positioning indicates a bullish sentiment among traders, with a put/call open interest ratio ranging from 0.69 to 0.76. Of the $9.4 billion in call options expiring, around 55% are in the money, suggesting that many traders are betting on further price increases. This concentration of in-the-money calls could lead to increased buying from market makers as they hedge their positions, potentially driving prices higher.

      However, the settlement also carries risks. The maximum pain price, where the most options expire worthless, is between $75,000 and $76,000, significantly below current trading levels. After the expiry, dealers may unwind their hedging positions, which could lead to increased volatility and a potential reset in trading ranges. This particular expiry is further complicated by its timing, coinciding with the release of U.S. economic data and the expiration of CME Bitcoin futures contracts, which could amplify market movements in either direction.

      © 2026 KLEA News. All Rights Reserved. This article is provided for informational purposes only. It is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

      Source: KLEA News

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